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(Kenneth Anderson)

These days the defense of the products and output of the humanities – literature, criticism, the academic study of the arts and letters, etc. – is not an easy task.  At least it is not an easy task if one’s position is doubly, or even triply-conditioned:  First, a defense would have to be of critical thinking in reading and writing, verbal skills, in a forward sense that engages with a changing, technologically driven world, asserting the value of generalist skills in thinking in a world that prizes technical specialization as the key to wealth and success. Second, however, it would have to be a defense of a “traditional” conception of the humanities as a realm of close reason – but without saying that it was better how we “used to do it” and that arts, literature, and criticism should return to how they were when the critic was in college, because by and large it wasn’t so great then.  Third, it would be no defense at all of the humanities in their current academic incarnation, because they aren’t very much about critical thinking, teaching it to students or deploying it in its production; no defense of the current humanities academy, while at the same time urging that its reform does not mean a project in reaction and nostalgia.

The task of defending the humanities is difficult not merely because its academic guardians have by and large failed or given up on the intellectual underpinnings, however.  A big part of the problem is that the collapse of the disciplines in their traditional sense has convinced many that the basic problem of the humanities is not that they are badly taught, but that they do not, or no longer, speak to the ‘truths’ of the world.  One economist friend who shares my love of Stendhal remarked to me that it is not that Stendhal is not revelatory of the “world”; it is, rather that literature, as revelatory of human nature and the human world is anecdotal and personal, whereas today we have social science and data. The taste for story, narrative, and literature remain, but merely as taste, not truth. Indeed, he might have continued, we could probably come up with good evidence that our undeniable taste for story and narrative is the product of a biological wiring that seeks to impose order on the world in the form of a narrative; how, then, are we to see Julien and Mathilde as “revelatory,” given that they, too, are narrative par excellence? The same for criticism and the genres of thinking associated with the academic disciplines of the humanities that seek to explicate and interpret; one might as well return to Freud.

This is not, note, the customary criticism of the “useless” humanities that these are disciplines that don’t produce an obvious rate of return. This new dismissal of the humanities is distinct from the problem of trying to see their value in commercial life. After all, as Tyler Cowen pointed out in one of his finest early books, the most vibrant pursuits of the humanities – pace the prejudices of many humanities professors – are often the product of the most vibrant commercial societies.  Why?  Apart from having a society rich enough to support so complex a division of labor in a strictly material sense, I suppose it’s the relation of sense and sensibility. So much of a vibrant commercial life seems on the surface to consist of “sense” – doing the accounting and figuring the rate of return. Yet the stuff for sale, from ephemeral fashion to the design of the great public infrastructure, is actually “sensibility.”

The role of the humanities in this kind of vibrantly commercial society, one which celebrates the high arts and the low arts, high culture and pop culture, is to bring to bear sense upon sensibility, to provide the tools by which to analyze sensibility.  Part of which is culture for its own sake, but part of which serves, intentionally or collaterally, to more effectively sell sensibility.  Making sense of sensibility seems to me the fundamental task of the humanities; for one to care about that task, really care, one has to think that sensibility is something more than merely ephemeral and contingent taste.  Something more than exogenous preference, if you like.  One of the biggest problems today, in other words, is that we simply don’t much believe that the analysis of sensibility says very much, not merely because the humanities disciplines aren’t very good at their own traditional tools, but instead because there isn’t much at bottom to say about preference and taste.  Curation and categorization?  Sure. Analysis? Not really.

There are two different currents here. One is the humanities as disciplines giving up on delivering answers and, in their academic emanations, coming very close to giving up on reason as such. Apart from anything else, it is a position that leaves academic departments ill-equipped to accomplish the proposition on which universities sell these departments, the ability to teach broad analytic and thinking skills to undergraduates, both as a practical life skill and as a public good.

The other is partly an independent phenomenon and partly a move to fill a disciplinary vacuum created by the humanities’ academic collapse. It is, unsurprisingly, the rise and rise of social science as a claim to empirical explanation of human nature, on the one hand. And rationalist economics, on the other, providing a deductive structure that applies an elegant (in one sense) and brutalist (in another) reductivism that strips human motivation down to a simple machine that takes the raw materials of desires and runs it through, first, a narrow rational choice modeling, finally to be polished up and modified a bit by a little behavioral economics to adjust for “real” human beings. It’s as though the way to explain human beings is to put together a model that mimics the behavior of a human being and tweak until it can’t be distinguished from the human being: a Turing Test for social science modeling. Or maybe a Turing Test for being human. It’s only the humanities that gave up on the search for truths about human beings in the world. The economists and the geeks of social science never gave up the search, and they (and we) seem to have concluded that the answers are located in purely technical subjects through purely technical thinking. Or at least we behave that way.

It is possible, of course, that this turns out to be true.  Human psychology explained by increasingly ramified forms of behaviorism.  I doubt it – I think, rather, that one of these days we will conclude that our current reductionist forms of explaining human beings are too reductionist, and that today’s austere and “on the surface” behaviorism turns out to be as mistaken as the baroque multiplication of psychological entities that characterized Freud and psychoanalysis.  But leave that aside; the consequences for the humanities of turning to purely technical subjects for human understanding are grave.  To start with, the new social scientists and economists, working within the deliberately flat and barren propositions internal to their disciplines, strongly bounded rationality, have no larger frame of intellectual history in which to situate themselves, as part of the history of ideas, as something which is not entire of itself.  There’s a name for the temptation to which it gives rise, one we learned in classes in literature and classics: hubris.

It means, for another thing, that the humanities as disciplines, while they might still (barely) be a way of teaching certain forms of reasoning, don’t provide “content” in the intellectual reproduction of commercial culture – at least, not at the fundamental level, at the level of science and applied science.   They are not part of the production of new knowledge.  Success and advance for society lie in the innovations of technical and applied sciences alone – and the humanities lose a place in the production of these innovations, and become relegated to the status of mere items of consumption.  Literature, the arts, criticism, the essay – their social significance lies solely in their role as entertainment.  Entertainment is what one does in one’s free time, for fun. It is dispensable, and the humanities, too, their raw materials and their analytic products, likewise are dispensable. We didn’t use to think this about the humanities, its products, disciplines, and academic efforts. But that’s where we are now: fantastically produced and expensive, but their deliverances no longer can claim to reveal anything very important about the world.  That role has been ceded to STEM; and, well, The Rest is Noise.

I finally got around to framing the beautiful commemorative print I got from the Hamilton Wood Type & Printing Museum back in 2009. To give you an idea of the size, the frame is five feet tall. By far the biggest thing I’ve ever had framed. Here are a couple close-up shots:

I love the part below the big heading where it says, “THIS IS THE SMALLEST WOOD TYPE EVER MADE, OUT OF A MACHINE WEIGHING 950 POUNDS”.

The print was taken from a literal showcase of Hamilton Wood Type made for the 1893 Columbia Exposition in Chicago. It’s composed of virgin (never used for printing) wood type, some of it painted. If you have seen wood type before, it’s usually dark brown in color, stained from use. This is what the stuff looked like when it was brand new.

The curators of the Hamilton were able to pull prints from the showcase without getting a bit of ink on it. The display was taken out of its protective case and wrapped in 3M window insulator film. The film was inked and the prints were pulled from that. It’s not as crisp as a print taken directly from wood type, but it’s the first time any kind of print was made from this old type in over 100 years.

More photos here. If you’re at all interested in type, wood type, or letterpress printing, I highly recommend paying a visit to the Hamilton Wood Type & Printing Museum. It’s in Two Rivers, Wisconsin, about a couple hours by car north of Milwaukee.

(Kenneth Anderson)

With sadness I report the closure of one of the world’s great stand-alone book reviews, the Revista de Libros de la Fundacion Caja Madrid.  For the past twenty years, it has served as the leading literary review in the Spanish-speaking world – edited in Spain, and possessed of a genuinely global grasp of intellectual and cultural affairs.  It united deeply informed review essays together with unparalleled contemporary Spanish prose – exquisite and lapidary.  I was honored to serve as the Review’s political sciences editor.  I also authored several essays for it, on the United Nations and global governance, Francis Fukuyama on neoconservatism, Philip Bobbitt on terrorism and the state, that were translated into a Spanish that made me out to be much smarter than I am.  (The translator, the Revista’s Luis Gago, won awards for his translation, most recently, of The Rest Is Noise.)

The Revista closed because its patron, the Caja de Madrid, is one of the regional Spanish thrifts that has run into trouble – Spain having a particular economic trouble in that its national banks weathered the crisis well, but its regional thrifts financed Spain’s construction boom and bust. The economic trouble is linked to a particular political trouble in that the national banks were well supervised by national authorities, while the regional thrifts benefited from the perennial conflicts between national authority in Spain and the regions.  I suppose that if I were, say, British, and given my general views on the necessity of a demos for democratic governance, I would probably be a Euroskeptic.  But in fact the European project has pulled off several near-miracles, one of which is the integration of post-Franco Spain back into, well, civilization.  Elite cultural institutions like the Revista are part of that consolidation and its closure is an enormous loss.

The Revista’s closure prompts me to one general comment about book reviews.  The collapse of so many stand-alone book reviews as well as newspaper book sections has left a gap in the intellectual genre of criticism.  The kinds of book discussions that we often have in blogs is great – inviting authors to present their new books in blog posts, or online roundtable discussions with an author of a new book.  These are terrific new ways of presenting the ideas in books made much more accessible by blogs and online resources.  But they also have limitations, and one of the most important of these is, to put it baldly, the presence of the author directly on the stage of discussion.  Offering a comment on a book in which the book’s author will immediately respond changes considerably the sensibility that one brings to making the comment.

The book review as a genre of “criticism,” by contrast, depends upon a critical distance from the author in order to focus upon the book.  It is hard if not impossible to do if the author as a living presence is hovering nearby.  All these genres, the new and the old, have their places, but it is harder than it used to be in part for lack of outlets, especially when the new online resources see their advantage in the ability to bring the author into the discussion directly.  I’m unusual in the academic world in liking to write book reviews; I like to read books and like to write about them.  And I like reading and writing the sophisticated, polished reasonably short book review essay as its own genre.  Most academics see book reviews as a waste of time – not taken seriously in the academy, and are not worth the effort.  I agree that is all how it is – but alas, if I were honest about the writing I’ve done that I most like, it’s the highly polished, sentence by sentence edited and revised, review essays I’ve written for the Times Literary Supplement in particular.  I don’t think it has ever done anything for my academic career, even in the handful of cases when the essay was widely noted in the academy, but I think it’s much of my own best work and the stuff I most like.

So I was excited when the Lawfare national security law blog invited me to become the book review editor; short of becoming editor of the TLS or the Boston Review, this is something I’ve always wanted to do.  But Lawfare is not really a blog; it’s a highly edited online journal, run by a long-time journalist with serious editorial skills, and the editors agreed that we should aim in this particular subject area to reinvigorate the traditional book review essay, at whatever length.  I’m really pleased with this; reviewers have enthusiastically welcomed the instruction to write as though for a traditional book review, and to expect serious substantive and copy editing.  My larger point, however, is that the traditional book reviews cultivated a particular genre with a particular sensibility.  The best of the genre had a certain analytic toughness, and it has been harder to come by with changes in media platforms.

Disagreements on cyber risk East-West "Cold War"

By Peter Apps, Political Risk Correspondent

Fri Feb 3, 2012 11:32pm IST

LONDON - With worries growing over computer hacking, data theft and the risk of digital attacks destroying essential systems, western states and their allies are co-operating closer than ever on cyber security . . . 

But many Western security specialists say the evidence against both nations -- particularly China -- has become increasingly compelling.

"China is currently engaged in a maximal industrial espionage effort that it justifies internally in terms of a catch up strategy (with the West)," says Thomas Barnett, chief analyst at political risk consultancy Wikistrat and a former strategist for the U.S. Navy. "The key question here is: can China assume the mantle of intellectual property rights respect fast enough to avoid triggering economic warfare of the West... If it can't, then this is likely to get ugly."

Read the entire column at Reuters.

(Jonathan H. Adler)

Indiana Secretary of State Charles White was convicted of voter fraud, among other charges, this week for lying about this address on voter registration forms and voting in the wrong precinct. White apparently continued to use his ex-wife’s address for his voter registration after they split, in part, because he didn’t want to lose a modest town council salary for moving out of the district. As Secretary of State, White was the highest ranking elections official in the state.

Seen in Davis, California, on April 5, 2008.

“The first customers bough pairs of telephones for communication point to point: between a factory and its business office, for example.  Queen Victory installed one at Windsor Castle and one at Buckingham Palace (fabricated in ivory; a gift from the savvy [Alexander Graham] Bell.”

• from The Information: A History, a Theory, a Flood by James Gleick

(Jonathan H. Adler)

There’s much speculation and debate over whether non-citizens and others who are ineligible vote in U.S. elections, but relatively few documented instances.    That makes this report by a local television station in Fort Myers, Florida all the more significant.  The station’s investigation uncovered nearly one hundred non-citizens who were registered to vote, and several admitted to have cast ballots.  The non-citizen voters were discovered because they said to be excused from jury service due to their lack of citizenship.  The question now is whether this report is symptomatic of a larger problem in Florida, if not elsewhere, or a relatively isolated problem.

 

(Eugene Volokh)

Liberty Counsel points to these these excerpts of an interview with Justice Ginsburg on Egyptian television, and argues:

In a recent interview with Egyptian television, Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg insulted the U.S. Constitution and advised Egypt to look somewhere else when drafting its own constitution. Justice Ginsburg was asked to give insight on this crucial topic for the post-Mubarak government but focused more on liberal human rights, rather than traditional American freedom.

When describing the nature of a constitution, Justice Ginsburg did appropriately recognize the importance of a constitution and the duty of the citizens to defend it. Justice Ginsburg did not, unfortunately, take her own advice. She undermined insight of its crafters and stated, “I would not look to the US Constitution if I were drafting a Constitution in the year 2012.” Instead, Justice Ginsburg referred to the constitutions of more supposedly progressive countries, like South Africa, Canada, and the European Convention on Human Rights. She stated, “I can’t speak about what the Egyptian experience should be, because I’m operating under a rather old constitution.” This directly refutes the U.S. Constitution’s relevance today.

For a United States Supreme Court Justice, entrusted with the duty to interpret the Constitution, this type of statement is unacceptable. Justice Ginsburg failed to respect the authority of the document that it is her duty to protect. When given the opportunity to promote American liberty abroad, Justice Ginsburg did just the opposite and pointed Egypt in the direction of progressivism and the liberal agenda.

Mathew Staver, Founder and Chairman of Liberty Counsel and Dean of Liberty University School of Law, said, “For a sitting U.S. Supreme Court Justice to speak derisively about the Constitution she is sworn to uphold is distressing, to say the least. Justice Ginsburg’s comments about our Constitution undermine the Supreme Court as an institution dedicated to the rule of law, as well as our founding document.”

This criticism strikes me as quite misplaced. Justice Ginsburg swore an oath to uphold the U.S. Constitution, and I suspect she thinks that the U.S. Constitution, as interpreted by the U.S. Supreme Court and U.S. political practice, works pretty well in the U.S. But why should she (or we) think that the 1787 constitutional text, coupled with the 27 amendments that have come in fits and spurts since then, would necessarily work well for a completely different country today?

To be sure, our Constitution has the merit of having endured with only one really huge constitutional crisis — the Civil War — for a long time, and of having produced a very rich and free country; that’s good. But much of that, I suspect, comes not from the constitutional text, but from the constitutional traditions that have emerged since then, both in the courts and elsewhere; adopting the U.S. Constitution would not adopt those traditions.

And it might well be that Egypt might be well-served by a very different approach than the U.S. Constitutions — for instance, with regard to relations between the federal government and more local governments, with regard to whether to have a Presidential system or a parliamentary system, with regard to how hard the constitution would be to amend, with regard to how judges are selected and how long they serve, with regard to how the President is selected, with regard to the relationship between the two chambers of the legislature, with regard to whether all executive officials work for the President or whether some are independently elected or selected, with regard to just how to craft the criminal justice system, and so on. (And here I just speak of the big picture questions, and not more specific details.) Remember that even our own states’ constitutions differ in many respects, especially with regard to separation of powers and the selection and tenure of judges, from the U.S. Constitution. Again, that the constitutional text, coupled with a wide range of extratextual political and legal practices, has worked well for us over 200+ years doesn’t tell us that it would work well for Egypt for the coming years.

Nor do I think that there’s something disloyal or bad for American policy for an American Justice to make such statements to a foreign country. Rather, I think it’s just sensible and sensibly (not excessively or falsely) modest.

And, returning to my first point, none of this tells us whether Justice Ginsburg is committed to following the U.S. Constitution in the U.S. Maybe you think she is so committed and maybe you think she isn’t, but you’d have to figure that out from other sources than from the advice she gives to a different country about whether to adopt the constitutional text in a completely different political and legal requirement.

JOHNSON: Let’s get America moving again
Replacing income and capital-gains taxes with Fair-tax is a good place to start

By Gary Johnson – The Washington Times Thursday, February 2, 2012

With the real unemployment rate probably well above 10 percent, we have to, as President Kennedy said, “get America moving again.” When I visited Occupy Wall Street, I felt the frustration of young people who wanted to work but couldn’t get an interview, much less a job. What’s even more frustrating is that when I visit business owners and employers, I meet people who want to hire, but can’t.

Capitalism requires capital. When government robs capital from investors in the form of high taxes, it takes away the money that creates jobs – real private-sector jobs that contribute to the health of our economy. The businessmen I meet want to expand, want to hire and think they can find a market for what they sell, but they lack capital.

Meanwhile, the federal government is spending us deeper and deeper into debt while we shell out billions in foreign aid we can no longer afford and trillions more for foreign wars in which our national interest is just not apparent to me.

Republicans and Democrats have both failed to respond to this reality. In order to create jobs now, we need radical surgery, not a haircut. Here I present a simple but drastic economic plan to foster a boom in America.

First, we need to get rid of the income tax. When our first great Supreme Court justice, John Marshall, equated the power to tax and the power to destroy, he was predicting what’s happening to our country right now. Giant, slow corporations spend their money on lobbying because tax avoidance is where their profit is. General Electric earned $14.2 billion in 2010 and paid zero taxes on it. Why? Because it has the lobbyists to get subsidies and tax breaks.

But those mom-and-pop stores? The tech startups? The nimble new corporations with new ideas and new visions for our economy? They pay as much as 35 cents on every dollar they earn. When the company pays its employees, the government taxes that money again. We need to stop taxing work, savings and investment. I advocate removing all income taxes, all capital-gains taxes, and replacing them with a consumption tax, kind of a national sales tax called the Fair-tax.

We also need to get rid of payroll taxes. Look at it from the perspective of employers for a moment. When they want to hire someone, it costs more than just the wage they’re paying. They have to pay payroll taxes, including for Social Security and Medicare. That cost is about 10 percent of the wages they pay an employee. Remove that burden, and employers will be able to hire 10 percent more people. With an unemployment rate of 10 percent, why wouldn’t we jump at this chance? The Fair-tax replaces employment and payroll taxes.

So how does Fair-tax fund the government? When anyone purchases a new good or service for personal consumption, be it a DVD or a yacht, the person is taxed. Fair-tax doesn’t tax used goods or business-to-business purchases.

Some think the Fair-tax is regressive, but in fact it’s progressive – taxing the wealthy more than the poor. Fair-tax issues a “prebate” for families to spend on food, clothing, transportation, medical care or whatever they want to spend it on – it’s their money. Undocumented immigrants will pay their taxes if they want to buy anything. They need a Social Security card to receive a prebate, so the incentive is for immigrants to get themselves on the books as fast as possible.

At the same time, I have proposed cutting the federal budget by 43 percent to bring it into balance. It can be done. It requires the will and ability to ignore and even fight the special interests that have a vested interest in more and more government spending. Our system is corrupted by special-interest campaign contributions. Crony capitalism permeates our government. The result is that, as the Congressional Budget Office reported this week, the deficit for 2012 will once again exceed $1 trillion.

When I was governor of New Mexico, I had the highest job growth of any of the 50 governors. But I didn’t create a single job – businesses did. I just got government out of their way. We have an unprecedented opportunity to use today’s crisis to return us to economic growth and prosperity. Never before has the government been such an obstacle to employment. Republicans and Democrats have regulated and taxed our economy to where we’re lagging behind Brazil, Russia, China, Israel and India in terms of growth and innovation.

Government can’t grow us out of this mess – government is the problem. Radical tax reform and spending discipline can bring America back. Let’s get America working again.

(Eugene Volokh)

I’m on the run now, so can’t analyze it in detail, but I thought I’d pass it along: Gonzalez v. City of West Milwaukee (7th Cir. Feb. 2, 2012). Thanks to John Tuffnell for the pointer.

(Kenneth Anderson)

Philip Bobbitt is an old and dear friend, and I was privileged to meet his bride, the marvelous Maya Ondalikoglu, at a dinner in California last month.  This Above the Law story on the romance and wedding is not a gossip piece.  Professor Bobbitt agreed to be interviewed for the story, and it’s a quite lovely wedding announcement.  For those who don’t know Professor Bobbitt, take my word that the announcement he had wed took those of us who do know him, um, somewhat by surprise, save for the fact that the unexpected is so … so characteristically Philip Bobbitt. On behalf of the Volokh Conspiracy, congratulations and best wishes to the newly-weds.  Long life and happiness.

Editor’s Note: The following piece, exclusive to GPS, comes from Wikistrat, the world's first massively multiplayer online consultancy.  It leverages a global network of subject-matter experts via a crowd-sourcing methodology to provide unique insights.

It’s hard to gauge just how strong the Free Syrian Army really is.  It’s clearly growing in size and in its ability to control ever-widening swaths of territory.  But at the same time, Russian and Iranian guns pour into Bashar al-Assad’s government.  And Bashar al-Assad has a steely will to power.

Given the mounting tension, it’s worth thinking through exactly how regime change may unfold and what it’s consequences would mean for the region.

Wikistrat, the world’s first massively multiplayer online consultancy ran an online simulation on what could go down in Syria. Here are the results:

Read the entire post at CNN's GPS blog.

JOHNSON readers have asked for more etymology. Well, that's the opposite of what these hapless folks in need of a superhero called for. From the always excellent xkcd.

(Eugene Volokh)

An interesting opinion in United States v. Stone (E.D. Mich. Jan. 30, 2012); this isn’t my field, so I can’t opine on it with confidence, but the decision strikes me as likely right. Here’s an excerpt:

On November 30, 2011, the Government notified Defendants that it intended to call an “Academic Expert,” Professor Michael Barkun, to testify concerning his research into conspiracy belief and theories. In response to Defendants’ motion to preclude Dr. Barkun’s testimony, the Government admitted that a hearing pursuant to Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharms., 509 U.S. 579, 113 S.Ct. 2786, 125 L.Ed.2d 469 (1993) ( “Daubert hearing”) was necessary to test the admissibility of Professor Barkun’s testimony.

Before the hearing, the Government provided Defendants with a longer, more concrete Rule 16(a)(1)(G) summary of Dr. Barkun’s proposed testimony, containing notice that Dr. Barkun will testify about conspiracy subcultures, beliefs and theories; and theories such as “stigmatized knowledge,” “New World Order” and the “Illuminati.” The Government also intends to ask Dr. Barkun questions to elicit conspiracy theorists’ beliefs about the history behind Federal Emergency Management Agency (“FEMA”) detention centers and the role of the internet in spreading conspiracy belief literature and thought. Dr. Barkun also plans to testify about significant events in conspiracy belief and how conspiracy theorists view these events. The events listed in the Rule 16 summary include: Ruby Ridge, Waco, the Oklahoma City bombing and the 9/11 attacks.

The Government states:

As he testifies about each of the concepts above, Professor Barkun will also be asked whether he has reviewed some of the materials seized during the search warrants executed at the defendants’ residences and some of the recorded conversations and whether this material is consistent with the conspiracy beliefs about which he is testifying. The government found a great deal of material in numerous locations which espouse these beliefs, shedding light upon the defendants’ intent and motive, as well as linking the co-conspirators to the goal of the charged conspiracy in Count One.

… Dr. Barkun’s testimony will not assist the jury, as required by Rule 702…. At the Daubert hearing, the Government insisted it would use Dr. Barkun’s testimony as evidence of Defendants’ “intent and motive” to forcibly and violently oppose the Government under the Seditious Conspiracy count. However, the Government failed to connect the proposed expert testimony to the issues in dispute under that count.

For instance, Defendants asked the professor whether there is any literature on what people who read the conspiracy belief books, charts and other items seized from some of the Defendants’ homes, do with the information contained there, i.e, whether studies demonstrate whether these individuals lead normal lives or act out violently pursuant to their beliefs. Dr. Barkun replied that he is not aware of such studies. Similarly, when asked whether it was possible to predict what a conspiracy theorist will ultimately do with his or her beliefs, Dr. Barkin admitted it was impossible to predict.

Dr. Barkun could not opine on the number of conspiracy belief-related books a person must have, to become a conspiracy theorist, except to say it would have to be a lot. Defendants made the point that Dan Brown, the popular author of The Da Vinci Code and Angels and Demons, writes in his books about the same concepts and beliefs in the literature on which the professor’s testimony is based. Yet, it would be inaccurate to suggest that everyone who reads Dan Brown is a conspiracy theorist. More importantly, even if they are, the Court cannot make the additional required leap that conspiracy theorists will commit acts of violence simply because of their beliefs, or something they read in a Dan Brown novel.

Simply put, the nexus between the testimony the Government proffers through Dr. Barkun and the crimes charged is speculative at best. Dr. Barkun’s explanation of conspiracy theories and his opinion on whether or not items seized from Defendants’ homes are consistent with these theories will not aid the jury in determining whether Defendants agreed and intended to forcibly oppose the United States Government. As Defendants argued at the hearing, the crime charged is one of action, not advocacy. It is neither necessary nor sufficient that Defendants believe in conspiracy theories to be found guilty of Seditious Conspiracy.

This is not a case about the New World Order, the Illuminati, stigmatized knowledge or any other conspiracy theory or concept. This is so even though some of these concepts might be tangentially related to the crime charged, as stated in the indictment. (See, e.g., Doc. # 293, Second Superseding Indictment at ¶ 8 (alleging that the Hutaree views its enemies as participants in the “New World Order,” which the Hutaree intends to oppose by force)). It is a case about an alleged agreement to violently overthrow the Government. There is no place for Dr. Barkun’s proposed testimony, which the Court must treat with more caution than that of a lay witness because, as an expert, he need not have personal knowledge about the case to testify.

The absence of fit between Dr. Barkun’s proposed testimony and the issues is exemplified by some of the topics covered in the Government’s Rule 16(a)(1)(G) summary and during the hearing. These include: the history of FEMA detention centers; the standoff at Ruby Ridge; the standoff at Waco, Texas; the Oklahoma City bombing; and the September 11, 2001 attacks in New York and Washington, D.C. (“9/11 attacks”). The Government does not allege that Defendants were involved in these occurrences; they are not relevant to the facts alleged in the indictment.

The Court is unpersuaded that these topics are relevant even though the Government proposes only to show that conspiracy theorists believe the United States Government was behind these events. Dr. Barkun admitted that there are multiple and distinctive descriptions of the terms and concepts addressed at the hearing and that the Government’s summary of his testimony does not include them all. He admitted that not all conspiracy theorists hold the same views and that some may hold some of the views described in the summary, but not others. As explained more fully below, exploration into these topics would not only lead the trial way off-track, but would likely confuse and mislead the jury….

I was chatting with a small business owner recently. He provides a service that is a purely discretionary purchase. His business had been slow for the past few years because of the economy. But over this holiday season, he had all the work he could handle, and it was all local. He considers his business an early indicator for the economy as a whole. This made me curious. Was the economy starting to revive? So I started looking for other signs of recovery.

I live in the San Francisco Bay Area, where you'd expect signs of an improved economy to show up first. And sure enough, things around here are looking up all over the place. I thought I'd give you some examples to lift your weekend. If the economy is still weak where you live, or you're struggling personally, perhaps it will help to know that there are bright spots in the country that are likely to spread. It has to start somewhere.

Last night I was standing in line at a local fast food place and ran into a woman I've known for eleven years. She's a server at a white tablecloth restaurant in town. She told me business was slow last year, but picking up nicely so far this year. That's good to hear.

The weirdest bit of good economic news is the number of my friends who are working on startups. Most of them have good jobs already, but they're looking to get something going on the side as well. Weirder yet, I know several people who are working on more than one startup at the same time. If my wife and I threw a party at our house, and invited our usual group of friends, we'd have at least nine startups in the room. I'm probably forgetting a few. I've lived in this area all of my life, and I've never seen this much entrepreneurial energy.

A friend recently interviewed for a good job. The interviewing company offered him a choice of two positions. This happened right around Christmas. When was the last time you saw someone get a job around Christmas? And when was the last time you saw someone do one job interview and get two offers?

Two years ago I rarely saw any new construction in the area. Now I see a lot of it, including homes and roads. Road construction used to annoy me because of delays. Now it makes me happy because it's a sign of an improving economy.

Unemployment is still an issue, but among the people I know locally, far fewer are unemployed now compared to a year or two ago. That seems to be moving in the right direction.

Nationally, stocks are up, and as of this morning, unemployment rates have dropped more than expected. Economies generally don't move sideways. Usually they move up or down. As far as I can tell, things are getting better where I live. The exception is housing prices, which probably have further to fall. But the penalty for walking away from an underwater mortgage seems smallish these days, and I think people have psychologically discounted their home equity losses and are ready to move on.

We have a long way to go, but as far as I can tell, we're heading in the right direction. How about where you live? Leave a comment saying where you live and whether or not your local economy is improving. Tell me what you observe within driving distance.

Seen at the Eastman House, Rochester, New York, July 19, 2008. I think this was on the side of an old movie projector that was on display.